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Assumption Tracking: Reduce Risk and Rework

December 1, 2024

Every Decision Has Bets

Assumptions are the invisible scaffolding behind decisions. They are the conditions you believe to be true when you act—market demand, technical simplicity, user behavior.

When assumptions are explicit, you can test them. When they're implicit, they rot quietly and cause rework.

How to Track Assumptions

  • Record each assumption alongside the decision that depends on it
  • Give assumptions a confidence score (0-100%)
  • Add a simple test or metric that would invalidate the assumption
  • Unvios surfaces downstream decisions when an assumption's status changes, so you know exactly what to revisit.

    Case Study

    An indie maker assumed an integration would take two days. It took two weeks. Because assumptions were tracked, they could quickly identify which features were delayed and which customer promises to re-negotiate.

    Outcome

    Assumption tracking turns luck into learnable practice. It helps corporate professionals iterate faster and avoid costly surprises.